by Michael McClymont. MLB Home Run Prop Picks for Friday: Race to Back Red-Hot Ramirez Check out our top MLB home run prop picks for Friday's schedule. MLB Home Run Prop Picks for Thursday: Vogelbach Bash on Tap Check out our top MLB home run prop picks for Thursday's schedule.

Athletics: Value in Both Hitting, Pitching Markets Check out our best Shohei Ohtani prop predictions for Thursday's Angels vs. Shohei Ohtani Player Props, Picks: Angels Star to Overwhelm Nats Check out our best Shohei Ohtani prop predictions for Tuesday's Angels vs.

Shohei Ohtani Player Props, Picks: Can Angels Star Stay Unbeaten vs. What kinds of MLB picks do we make? Free MLB expert picks Some baseball fans have an innate knack for betting the game, literally crushing it with their bets at the best online sportsbook , sports betting apps , and betting sites.

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It won't take long to see patterns that can allow you to forecast which pitchers are likely to get used on a given night. With starting pitchers getting so much attention regarding the betting line, putting in some extra work on bullpens can be a big moneymaker in baseball.

ROBERT FERRINGO - I am a big believer in regression to the mean. The foundation of my handicapping career is that "gambling isn't magic, it's mathematics". And there are several fundamental mathematical principles that you can count on in wagering. One area where I look for regression is regarding batting average with runners in scoring position.

When I'm looking at an MLB best bet, the first thing to handicap is in the pitchers and how they match up with the opposing lineups. But a factor that can take a good situation and make it a great one is when you have a team that is "due" because their numbers with runners in scoring position have been skewed outliers in recent games.

The numbers don't lie. Don't fight them, use them. GRIFFIN MURPHY - In baseball, there are all types of variables to take into consideration for success at the betting window. Confluences, or merging strategies, are my key ingredient to making a Best Bet.

Every handicapper has their own angles. I am very strategic with mine. I stack up as many positive situations as possible and rank them against negatives. Of course, the first component involves pitching.

I hunt for good pitchers and struggling pitchers. How many runs did our pitcher give up in his last two outings? How many strikeouts did he achieve?

How many walks were given up? Then I simplify down to offense. How is my team playing offensively in their last five games? How many runs were scored? how many extra base hits occurred?

Simply put, is that squad hitting the ball well or weak as of late? And, finally, how are they playing in their last 10 games? Are we trending upwards or downwards? Are we currently on a win streak, or is the team we are looking to attack currently on a losing streak?

Once I have added up all of my positives, I must have at least two times more positive factors than negative factors. This strategy helps me calculate my MLB best bets! ARUN SHIVA - In baseball, we look for the same thing we do in most of our top plays, which is to fade the public.

But each sport is slightly different, and in baseball we look for let downs for pitchers as well. This is especially true when they come off a particularly brilliant start in which their team loses.

That type of effort with no reward is brutal to take for the psyche of a pitcher, and consequently we know that he will likely have a letdown in his next start.

JASON SHARPE - A best bet in MLB centers on being ahead of the curve and being proactive with current information.

In the end, this is something that the MLB betting markets are usually very slow to react too over the course of their very long regular season. It can be an easy call for a best bet. STRIKE POINT SPORTS - One of the best tips that we can give you for targeting a best bet on the diamond is to bet against the worst teams!

I know this seems kind of obvious. But sometime bettors can overthink things, especially when they are considering stepping out with a wager that is larger than normal. But you can often find tremendous value betting against the worst teams in the league, especially when those teams are at home.

You can't find line value with the top tier teams going up against the teams in the basement. The moneylines are usually too big. But if you are in a situation where you can find a second-tier or middle-of-the-pack team going up against the worst teams in the league, then you have the beginning of a top play.

The five or six worst teams in baseball are reliable for their ability to lose games in a variety of ways. The worst teams in baseball generally don't have a strong home field advantage because they don't draw many fans. And the teams in the basement generally aren't much better at home than they are on the road.

Your best bets should always be against the worst teams, because the books can't get you with the spread. Take advantage of that. TONY GEORGE - A top play or MLB best bet is always tricky, and I tend to lean more towards totals plays than side plays for bigger plays.

It limits the criteria and variables for me to handicap. Side plays can go south after six innings once a great starter you banked on did his job and the bullpen tanks on him in a tight game for instance.

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